BIMTECH Business Perspectives
issue front

Tom Jacob*, Rincy Raphael** and Ajina V.S***

First Published 5 Jan 2022. https://doi.org/10.1177/bsp.2022.3.1.15
Article Information Volume 3, Issue 1 January 2022

*Assistant Professor, Department of Commerce, Christ College, Irinjalakuda, Kerala, India. (Corresponding Author). E-mail: tomjacob9753@gmail.com
Research Scholar, Sri Ramakrishna Engineering College, Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu, India.
*Research Scholar, SMS, CUSAT, Kerala, India.

Abstract

Since liberalisation, exports have been playing an increasingly crucial role in India’s economic performance. This research paper is an attempt to analyse the determinants of exports in India, with special reference to inflation and exchange rate in the wake of this unprecedented importance of export in Indian economy. The main data for the study is collected from the RBI Database 2020 over a period of 25 years (1995 to 2020). The study was conducted employing econometric techniques like Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) Test, Johansen’s Co-integration Maximum Likelihood Test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). In order to study the stationary properties of the variables, the long run relationship among the macroeconomic variables and export, and the dynamic interrelationship among the variables of the model, respectively. The results derived from this study suggest that all variables are statistically significant for influencing the export performance, that is, exchange rate and inflation are found to have positive impact on export performance in India. These findings suggest some policy implications in managing inflation and the exchange rate system to promote export in India, and thereby achieve the overall growth rate of the economy.

Keywords

Export; WPI; NEER; VECM; ADF


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